Twin pregnancies are far more common after in vitro fertilization (IVF) because multiple embryos are often transferred to increase the chances of pregnancy. Researchers have also proposed that IVF may slightly increase the likelihood of identical twins by altering very early embryo development.5
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Twins
Twins are more common today than they were a generation ago, although most of the increase has been driven by fertility treatments rather than natural conception. In the United States, the twin birth rate rose by about 76% between 1980 and 2009, increasing from 18.8 to 33.3 babies per 1,000 births before declining to 30.1 by 2024.1
Even without fertility treatments, however, natural twinning rates vary dramatically around the world. The Yoruba people of West Africa have the world’s highest natural twinning rate, with 90-100 twin babies per 1,000 births,2 whereas parts of Southeast Asia have the lowest, with only 12-18 twin babies per 1,000 births.3 Scientists suspect that both genetics and diet contribute to these striking differences.
Identical twins, however, are a remarkable exception. They occur at a remarkably constant rate of about 3 to 4 pregnancies per 1,000 births worldwide, suggesting that the splitting of a single embryo is largely independent of genetics, environment, or diet.4
Most twins arrive only minutes apart. In one study, more than three-quarters were delivered within 15 minutes of each other.6 In extraordinarily rare cases, however, twins have been born months apart. The longest reported interval is 97 days, when twins delivered in Germany arrived more than three months apart.7
Identical and non-identical twins form differently. Non-identical twins form when the woman ovulates more than one egg, and each egg gets fertilized, forming two separate zygotes. Alternatively, one zygote can become two people for up to 14 days after fertilization. This usually happens in one of two ways. Early in development, the entire embryo may split, or just a few days later once the blastocyst has formed, the inner cell mass may split.8
Scientists can infer when identical twins formed by observing the arrangement of the embryonic membranes such as the chorion and amnion. The amnion is a thin, tough sac surrounding the embryo and holding the amniotic fluid. The chorion surrounds the amnion, supplying it with nutrients. The chorion develops from the embryo’s cells and is responsible for absorbing nutrients and oxygen from the maternal blood in the placenta.
- Identical twins that likely split around blastocyst hatching, before 5 days after conception: These twins have two different amniotic sacs, two chorions and two placentas. Roughly one-third of identical twins form this way.
- Identical twins that likely split between days 4-8 after conception: These twins have two different amniotic sacs, but they share one chorion and one placenta. This can pose risks if the placenta and blood vessels start favoring one twin over the other. Roughly two-thirds of identical twins from between 4 and 8 days after conception.9
- Identical twins that likely split from days 9-13 after conception: These twins share one amniotic sac, one chorion and one placenta. Only 1-2% of all identical twins split this late in development. These twins have the additional risk of tangling their umbilical cords.10
Despite risks during intrauterine development, twins that share a chorion did not significantly differ from twins who had their own chorion when tested for neurodevelopmental outcomes at two years old.11
